S&P Picks and Pans: Fannie Mae, Sprint Nextel, Covidien, NYSE, McKesson
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06/May/2008 9:34AM

S&P MAINTAINS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF FANNIE MAE (FNM; 28.29):

Shares are down in premarket trading after FNM posts first quarter loss per share of $2.57, vs. EPS of $0.85, significantly wider than our loss forecast and consensus due to $7.6 billion in mark-to-market and credit-related losses. Despite the losses, FNM grew its mortgage credit book of business 3% during the quarter, reflecting an increase in market share. In a move we view as positive, FNM will raise $6 billion by selling new common and preferred stock and will cut its quarterly dividend by $0.10 to $0.25, freeing up $390 million per year. We will update following FNM's 10:30 a.m. conference call. -K. Cole-CFA

S&P MAINTAINS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF SPRINT NEXTEL (S; 8.72):

According to an unconfirmed report from the WSJ, Sprint Nextel is considering a spin-off or sale of its Nextel division. We believe that, with a new management team, Sprint is looking at various corporate actions such as asset sales. A spin-off of Nextel could make a potential sale of Sprint to Deutsche Telecom (DT; 17.90) a smoother transaction. However, it could also signify that subscriber losses are getting worse and Sprint is having difficulty coming up with a solution to maintain Nextel subscribers. We are keeping our 12-month target price of 10, based on 5.8 times our 2008 EBITDA forecast. - J. Moorman, CFA

S&P UPGRADES RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF COVIDIEN LTD TO BUY FROM HOLD (COV; 48.19):

March-quarter operating EPS of $0.66, vs. $0.68, was ten cents better than we anticipated, with upside fueled by better-than-expected organic growth in the medical device and imaging solutions units, gross margin improvement and a significantly lower tax rate than envisioned. We are raising our fiscal year 2008 (September) sales forecast to $9.9 billion from $9.6 billion, and our operating EPS estimate by $0.20 to $2.56. We also boost our fiscal year 2009 EPS forecast by $0.10 to $2.85. We think COV is executing well post-spinoff from Tyco and believe low double digit growth is sustainable. We raise our target price by 8 to 55. -R. Gold

S&P MAINTAINS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF NYSE EURONEXT (NYX; 69.43):

NYX posts first quarter operating EPS of $0.87, vs. $0.43, $0.14 above our estimate. The strong results reflect record quarterly transaction volume, with particular strength from the company's European operations. We believe cost synergies from recent acquisitions are starting to gain traction. Trading volume benefitted from recent volatility in the markets, which may subside if markets stabilize. To reflect strong first quarter results, we are raising our 2008 EPS forecast by $0.13 to $3.35. We are also lifting our target price by 10 to 75, 22.4 times our 2008 EPS estimate, in line with peers. -S. Plesser

S&P REITERATES STRONG BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MCKESSON (MCK; 58.71):

March-quarter operating EPS of $1.04, vs. $0.85, beats our estimate by $0.04. We are encouraged by above-market U.S. direct-store drug supply sales growth, improved med-surg revenues, and continued strong demand for IT products/services. MCK is seeing new customers and higher sales per customer. Its margins widened more than we expected with the distribution margin up 7 basis points, despite a sharply lower LIFO credit, and the IT unit's up an impressive 480 basis points. We keep our $3.85 fiscal year 2009 (March) EPS estimate. We view execution and healthy cash flow as attractive. We keep our 74 target price. -P. Seligman




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06/May/2008 8:53AM
Tuesday's stocks in the news

06/May/2008 8:36AM
Fannie Mae and UBS both revealed more damage from the financial crisis. Oil traded above $120 per barrel

05/May/2008 11:01PM
Supermarkets may be able to pass along higher world food prices, but packaged-food makers and processors are feeling the squeeze

05/May/2008 11:01PM
The bottom didn't fall out of the stock after Microsoft yanked its bid. One reason, says CEO Yang: &quot;We have more alternatives&quot; than before the offer

05/May/2008 6:22PM
S&amp;P says the transportation company is well positioned to benefit from any strengthening in the U.S. economy, ranking the shares a strong buy

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